Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday August 14th)

Best Days: Later today, tomorrow morning, Thursday morning, Saturday, Sunday

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Easing S/SE swell tomorrow with NW winds ahead of sea breezes
• Tiny Wed with N/NW winds
• Inconsistent W/SW groundswell possibly showing late Wed, peaking Thu with W/NW tending SE winds
• Easing swell Fri with strengthening N winds
• Moderate sized W/SW groundswell Sat with fresh N/NW tending W/NW winds, easing Sun with similar winds

Recap

A good increase in size was seen through Saturday with clean conditions and 2-3ft sets, while yesterday an onshore change moved through with more size to 3-4ft.

The low linked to yesterday's change produced a new S'ly swell which is maintaining easy 3ft sets today with variable winds.

Head-high surf this arvo

This week and weekend (Aug 15 - 20)

Today's S'ly swell is due to ease back from the 2ft+ range tomorrow morning, and conditions will be great with a light NW offshore ahead of afternoon sea breezes.

Wednesday morning looks smaller and with persistent N/NW winds, but later in the day some inconsistent, distant W/SW groundswell may be seen, peaking through Thursday.

This was generated by a strong but distant polar frontal progression that fired up south of South Africa last week, pushing east across the Heard Island region, with it now breaking down to the south-west of Western Australia.

It'll be very inconsistent but 2ft sets are due across Clifton on Thursday along with light W/NW winds ahead of a weak SE sea breeze.

This swell is due to ease into Friday with N'ly winds, while come Saturday a moderate sized W/SW groundswell is due to fill in, generated by a strong low moving in from the south-east Indian Ocean over the coming days.

A fetch of W/NW tending W'ly gales should move in under the country mid-late week, with the swell due to arrive overnight Friday, peaking Saturday morning to 2-3ft across Clifton.

N/NW winds should create clean conditions most of the day before shifting W/NW later while Sunday looks to play out similar with weaker N/NW tending W winds

It looks like there's plenty more activity to follow this but all mostly west in direction, generated to the south-west of Western Australia, more on this Wednesday.