Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 25th December)

Best Days: Beginners Saturday morning and Tuesday morning, Wednesday morning

Recap

Bumpy though workable waves with the swell easing back from 2-3ft yesterday, tiny today and best suited to beginners.

This week and next (Dec 26 – Jan 2)

As touched on in the last couple of updates, the coming days are poor with no decent swell on the way.

A W/SW swell showing for Friday and Saturday was generated too far north to offer any size at all across Clifton and winds will be onshore in any case Friday and from the S/SW, N'y Saturday but the surf looks to be 1ft+, only for beginners.

Moving into next week the outlook is a little more promising with a series of strong mid-latitude storms forecast to fire up under what looks to be another possible strong negative Southern Annular Mode (SAM) event.

Initially a distant and northerly positioned front will produce a tiny W/SW groundswell for Monday afternoon and Tuesday morning to 1ft+.

A secondary weaker but more southerly positioned low is due to move in slowly early next week, generating a healthy fetch of strong to gale-force W/SW winds in our western swell window, then SW winds on its tail in our southern swell window.

A bit more size to 2-3ft is likely across Clifton with favourable morning W/NW winds, but we'll have a closer look at this on Friday. Merry Christmas!