Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 7th October)

Best Days: Keen surfers Wednesday and Thursday mornings 

Recap

Good new swell for Saturday to 2-3ft with clean conditions, back to 2ft Sunday and bumpy across Clifton, better elsewhere. Today was cleaner but tiny and best for bigger boards.

This week and weekend (Oct 8 - 13)

We've got some good swell inbound this week, but a stubborn high looks to mostly spoil conditions across the South Arm, sitting south of Adelaide and directing persistent onshore winds into Clifton.

Our first W/SW swell for tomorrow has been downgraded a little, but the secondary groundswell for later Wednesday and Thursday is now stronger and bigger.

In the wake of the first front moving through overnight, S/SW winds will create poor conditions tomorrow, strengthening through the day as the W/SW swell builds to a small 2ft.

Wednesday morning should hold around 2ft, and we may see a W'ly wind early, but it looks to be mostly W/SW, shifting S/SW mid-morning and holding into the afternoon with a very late pulse of new SW groundswell.

This groundswell is being generated by a strong polar low that formed south-southwest of WA last night and is generating a fetch of gale to severe-gale W/SW winds in our south-western swell window.

The fast moving nature of the low isn't great but we'll see good 3ft sets on dark Wednesday, easing from a similar size Thursday but with W/SW tending S/SW winds, E/SE-SE Friday as the swell continues to ease.

Moving into the weekend, we may see small levels of E/SE swell spreading into locations that face east, generated by a low forming off the tip of New Zealand's South Island.

A persistent fetch of strong to near gale-force E/SE winds later this week should produce a good E/SE swell for the East Coast, with maybe 1-2ft of swell spreading into Clifton.

More exposed breaks will be better but a NE breeze Saturday will create average conditions, more N tending NE on Sunday.

Following this there's nothing significant on the cards until mid-late next week, so buckle up for a mediocre period of surf or check the East Coast forecast.