Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 26th October)

Best Days: Early Sunday, Tuesday morning, early Wednesday, Thursday

Recap

Wednesday's swell dropped back rapidly into yesterday leaving clean tiny 1-1.5ft waves across Clifton, while our new swell for today from the weak low didn't eventuate with the low not forming as forecast.

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This weekend and next week (Oct 27 – Nov 2)

The weekend isn't looking too flash with tiny waves again tomorrow morning with a dawn W/NW offshore ahead of a strong S/SW change as a polar front pushes up and across the state.

This will bring an increase in S/SW windswell, building into the afternoon, peaking overnight and easing from 2ft Sunday morning. We will hopefully see a W/NW breeze early, swinging back onshore mid-morning.

Into next week we've got some fun pulses of SW and W/SW groundswell due, the first and least consistent arriving through Monday afternoon, peaking overnight and easing Tuesday.

This will be generated by a pre-frontal fetch of W/NW gales swinging in from the south-east Indian Ocean and along the polar shelf, tending more favourable from the W in our south-western swell window.

This should produce a good pulse in size to 2-3ft later Monday, easing from a similar size on Tuesday.

Winds on Monday afternoon look onshore, with Tuesday morning the pick with a NW offshore ahead of sea breezes.

In the wake of this broad polar front we're due to see a significant low deepening in our western swell window, south of the country.

A fetch of severe-gale to storm-force W'ly winds will produce a large long-period W/SW groundswell for Wednesday that should come in at 3-4ft across Clifton when it peaks with a likely morning W/NW breeze, W/SW for the rest of the day.

The swell will ease off steadily on Thursday with better winds, but we'll have a closer look at this on Monday. Have a great weekend!