Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 2nd January)

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Best Days: Tuesday morning, Wednesday morning, Saturday morning

Recap

A continuation of tiny waves across the South Arm, lifting a touch yesterday but with average winds, and slightly more today with a weak SW windswell. A new SE groundswell should be building across the coast this afternoon but it'll be hard to distinguish with the onshore winds.

This week (Jan 3 - 6)

This afternoon's increase in SE swell should peak tomorrow morning, with satellite observations confirming a great looking fetch of strong to gale-force SE winds through our swell window the last couple of days.

Clifton should see 2ft sets tomorrow morning (larger more exposed breaks), easing into the afternoon and tiny Wednesday.

A light morning offshore wind is due tomorrow before a S'ly change moves through early afternoon.

Wednesday is then expected to see N/NE tending E/NE winds. Also in the water on Wednesday morning should be an inconsistent W/SW groundswell, generated over the weekend by a fetch of pre-frontal W/NW winds, but only 1-1.5ft sets are expected, tiny Thursday.

Into the end of the week and Saturday a small W/SW and then SW swell is due across the coast.

This should be produced by a small polar low generating a pre-frontal and post-frontal NW and stronger W/SW winds through our swell window.

The pre-frontal fetch isn't ideal and will only produce 1ft sets Friday morning, but the post-frontal fetch is better and should produce better sets to 2ft+ later Friday, easing from a similar size Saturday morning.

A variable tending SE wind is due Friday, easing Saturday with a N'ly offshore through the morning.

Longer term we'll hopefully see some better frontal activity firing up next week, generating some good W/SW groundswell, but more on this Wednesday.