Tiny ahead of some small W/SW swell on the weekend

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 17th August)

Best Days: Sunday, Monday through Wednesday

Recap

A late kick in new W/SW swell Monday eased back from the 2ft+ range yesterday morning, while a small reinforcing W/SW swell has kept 1-2ft sets hitting Clifton this morning.

This week and weekend (Aug 18 - 21)

Today's small W/SW swell will fade through tomorrow with not much above 1ft left across Clifton, tiny into Friday.

Now, the intense low that was forecast to develop south-west of us Friday and into the weekend is now expected to form under WA and the Bight, tracking slowly east-southeast while expending most of its energy before passing under us in a much weaker form over the weekend.

A fetch of severe-gale to storm-force W/SW winds will be generated too north of our swell window, with a large W'ly swell impacting our West Coast on Saturday morning not expected to really get in.

Maybe 1-2ft sets will be seen, but Sunday is a better chance as a fetch of strong W/SW winds move into our swell window.

This should see better 2ft sets through Sunday under W/NW tending W'ly winds.

Into early next week some fun S'ly swell is due across Clifton, generated by a fetch of strong S/SE winds stalling in our southern swell window through Saturday afternoon to Monday morning.

A good S'ly swell will build Monday, reaching 2-3ft later, peaking Tuesday to a good 3ft+, easing back Wednesday. Good offshore NW to N/NE winds are due through this period, providing plenty of fun surfing options. We'll have another look at this Friday though.

Comments

superfish's picture
superfish's picture
superfish Thursday, 18 Aug 2016 at 8:59am

How big a southerly swell do the points need ? How big would clifton be under these conditions ?

Thanks

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Thursday, 18 Aug 2016 at 9:14am

I don't want to give away too much on how big a swell the points need.

Mostly though if the points are working, Clifton will be maxing and too big.

superfish's picture
superfish's picture
superfish Thursday, 18 Aug 2016 at 11:19am

Fair enough, thanks. Have a good weekend