Small fun waves from Thursday, better next week
Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 22nd December)
Best Days: Thursday morning, Friday morning before the change, later Sunday onwards
Recap
The weekend didn't offer any love in the surf department with tiny clean waves Saturday becoming effectively flat yesterday. Today the surf is still tiny and unsurfable.
This week (Dec 23 - 26)
Tiny surf is due to continue into tomorrow but our small pulses of W/SW groundswell due from Wednesday afternoon are still on track.
The source of a continued run of small W/SW swell from Wednesday through Friday is a succession of strong cold fronts through our western swell window to the south-west and south of WA over the past day or so and through tomorrow and Wednesday.
The strongest pulse is due later Wednesday and Thursday morning to 2ft across Clifton, generated by a favourably aligned frontal system that's currently south of WA.
A secondary similar pulse of swell for Friday morning will be a touch more west in nature as the front generating this pushes high up through the Bight.
Still, we should see 1-2ft waves continuing across Clifton Friday from this source before fading through Saturday.
Conditions should be favourable each morning with offshore N/NW breezes, ahead of afternoon SE sea breezes besides Friday which will see a SW change move through mid-late morning.
This weekend onwards (Dec 27 onwards)
As touched in above, Saturday will see tiny leftover waves from Friday's swell, but from Sunday afternoon into early next week we should see some fun W/SW groundswells pushing into the South Arm again, hopefully with a touch more size.
These swells will be better aligned and have a touch more size owing to the frontal progression generating it being further south in latitude while also persisting with more strength while approaching us next week.
At this early stage we're probably looking at pulses to 2-3ft through Sunday afternoon and then Tuesday and Wednesday, but we'll confirm this in Wednesday's update.