Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 3rd November)

Best Days: Early tomorrow, Friday morning for desperate surfers, next week

Recap

Saturday started off slow and clean with a tiny leftover 1-1.5ft swell from Friday. Sunday saw a much more solid kick in long-range W/SW swell and close-range S/SW swell associated with a deep and powerful low pushing across us. This low strengthened and developed better than expected on Friday resulting in the larger pulse of swell through yesterday. Fresh W'ly winds gave into a W/SW change leaving protected locations with the only decent waves.

The swell has backed off into today with raw 3ft waves leftover from the S'th and SW. Conditions improved through the morning before fresh S/SE sea breezes kicked in.

This week (Nov 4 - 7)

Today's solid S/SE swell will ease off quickly through tomorrow, fading from 1ft to maybe 2ft under N/NW tending fresh N/NE winds.

Unfortunately the rest of the week isn't looking too flash with only tiny and inconsistent levels of W/SW groundswell due to build through Thursday, hold Friday and then back off Saturday.

The frontal activity generating this swell will be too far north of our prime swell window, and without any major strength in the winds, only an infrequent 1-1.5ft of swell is expected at its peak Thursday afternoon and Friday.

Winds should be nice though and offshore from the N/NW ahead of possible weak SE sea breezes Thursday and then N/NW tending SE winds Friday.

This weekend onwards (Nov 8 onwards)

We're looking at some better pulses of short-range W/SW swell through the weekend and early next week as a series of deepening mid-latitude lows track south-east from the Bight through our swell window towards the polar shelf.

The first pulse is due Sunday but to only 1-2ft or so across Clifton through the afternoon and with poor onshore W/SW winds.

A better system will hopefully develop for Monday and Tuesday producing more size to 3-4ft but the models are still moving around regarding the system generating this swell, so we'll review the outlook again on Wednesday.