Poor weekend, better Monday and Tuesday morning

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

South Australian Forecast (issued Friday 9th January)

Best Days: Monday exposed breaks down South, Tuesday morning slightly protected corners

Recap

The South Coast saw varying conditions yesterday with offshores at dawn giving way to an onshore change before swinging back offshore just before lunch and persisting into the mid-late afternoon.

This cleaned up a fun 2-3ft of swell across Middleton with bigger sets out at Waits for those in the region.

Into today though strong onshore winds have whipped up a poor windswell down South, and the Mid Coast is clean but tiny.

This weekend (Jan 10 - 11)

Moderate levels of S/SE windswell are due across the South Coast tomorrow morning with a broad fetch of strong SE winds being aimed into the state from today and through tomorrow.

Size wise we're looking at junky 3-4ft+ waves tomorrow morning with poor and gusty SE winds all day.

The models have now come into agreement regarding the movement of the inland surface trough sitting to our north bringing the wide-spread rain, and unfortunately Sunday will not see winds swinging E/NE any more, with fresh and gusty SE winds due to continue.

This should also kick up the windswell from around 3ft to 3-4ft during the afternoon but with no decent options for a surf.

Monday onwards (Jan 12 onwards)

The trough/low will finally push south on Monday and this should see winds swinging from the E/NE around to the N'th during the day and then NW later.

There won't be much size around though with a quickly easing S/SE windswell from the 3ft range across exposed breaks, back to 2ft into the afternoon. Protected breaks will be the go through the morning for fun peaky waves with most spots looking good into the early-mid afternoon.

Tuesday morning will be the only other decent day to surf next week as a small new S/SW groundswell fills in under W/NW breezes ahead of a SW change.

The groundswell will be generated by some broad but relatively weak polar frontal activity and only come in at 2ft to occasionally 3ft across the Middleton stretch, with 3ft+ sets at Waits and Parsons.

Tuesday afternoon's onshore change will be related to the trough moving south on Monday pushing back east and across us, and unfortunately winds will be onshore through the rest of the week after it passes.

Longer term there's a couple of better swell possibilities into next weekend/week but more on this Monday. Have a great weekend!