Eastern Tasmanian Forecast by Steve Shearer (issued Fri Dec 27th)

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Tiny waves developing over the weekend
• Not much to end 2024 and start 2025
• Possible small flush of S swell Thurs next week
• No major swells on the radar

Recap  

NE swells built yesterday to 2-3ft and persisted into this morning in the 3ft range before easing under offshore winds.

This weekend and next week (Dec28- Jan3)

No great change to the weekend outlook. Nothing much at all to ride under a very placid Tasman Sea and Southern Ocean with a low to the south of the state quickly being shunted to the South. Tiny surf Sat with NW winds shifting light S’ly as a weak trough passes by.

Similar winds for Sun, mostly W/NW-NW with a brief period of S’lies possible in the a’noon and tiny surf.

Huey will be not be offering much in the way of surf for the last days of 2024. The outlook is low energy with weak high pressure moving into the Tasman and no swells of any significance in the near or far swell windows. We’ll see light W-NW winds Mon and Tues, low pressure passes too the south and westerly ridging builds to the north. Tiny swells in the 1ft range Mon and Tues.

Last day of 2024 looking very, very tiny or dead flat

Same again for New Years Day. 

A small flush of short range S swell is on the cards for Thurs as a weak front pushes northwards past the state. Again, minor short period stuff in the 2ft range. And easing quickly into Fri under current modelling. Keep expectations pegged very low for this one.

We may start to see a trade flow develop into the end of next week, and into the second week of Jan but the high pressure belt still looks unconvincing. Elongated and weak. GFS has a more optimistic scenario which would see some small peaky NE windswell develop into next weekend. 

Nothing concrete at this stage but we’ll see how it looks when we come back Mon.

Seeya then and have a great weekend!