Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Steve Shearer (issued Mon Apr 29th)

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• More S swell pulses Tues, larger on Wed with S-SE winds
• S swell pulses and S winds through until the end of this week
• Strong S swell pulses Sat, easing Sun with S-SE winds slowly easing
• Surf becoming small into next week

Recap

S swell to 2ft provided a few fun waves Sat with tiny surf and offshore winds Sun. Small again today with just a 1-2ft swell from the E/NE and offshore NW winds tending SW in the a’noon as a front passes the state.

This week and next week (Apr29- May10)

We’ve got another monster high S of WA (1039hPa), expected to move into the Bight and strengthen (1042hPa) with a trough and front expected to  bring a robust SW-S change before the southwards positioned high holds a ridge across the NETas coast for most of the week with a S-SE flow. A trough of low pressure NE of the North Island is deepening today but moving southwards at a clip through the swell window with reduced swell potential compared to Fridays notes. A strong frontal progression will bring S’ly groundswell during the week. Later fronts in the far southern/central Tasman remain strong and although better aimed at Pacific targets we’ll still see some significant sideband S’ly energy from them.

In there short run, fresh SW-S winds tomorrow and moderate S swell will supply building swells to 3-4ft at S facing beaches, messed up by the wind.

We’ll see more S swell Wed with continuing SW-S winds lighter than Tues. Tuesdays pulse eases into the morning before a reinforcing pulse to 4ft in the a’noon. Again winds will be a problem.

Long period S swell wrap continues into Thurs and Fri, up in the 3ft range Thurs and similar Fri. These pulses will be overlapping so expect some subtle ups and downs as one pulse fades out and the other fills in. 

S’ly winds will remain unfortunately right through Thurs/Fri and into the weekend.

More strong S swell wrap is expected for the weekend with long period swell to 3-5ft Sat AM at S facing beaches, easing through the day and further through Sun.

Into next week and more S-SE winds but easing as high pressure finally moves E of Tasmania and shifting E then NE later in the week.

Easing S swells Mon and a few tiny days ahead with no major swell sources on the radar.

Check back Wed for the latest.