Flukey south swells with winds from the southern quadrant

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Eastern Tasmania Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 15th September)

Best Days: Thursday and Friday in semi-protected spots, Saturday at south swell magnets

Recap

A good pulse of S/SE swell peaked yesterday with clean 3-4ft waves across the coast during the morning. The swell has dropped back a touch into today mixed in with a new E/SE swell to 2-3ft at open beaches as offshore winds persisted.

This week and weekend onwards (Sep 18 onwards)

Moving into tomorrow another deepening frontal system is expected to move across us and project a fetch of strong to gale-force S/SW winds up past us this evening.

The fetch isn't ideal but a medium sized S'ly swell should still result, coming in at 3-4ft across south facing beaches, with smaller 2ft waves at open beaches.

Winds will be an issue though with a fresh to strong SW breeze persisting all day.

A drop in size is due into Friday, but a secondary frontal system pushing up past the south-east corner of the state should generate a new S'ly pulse during the day, but this looks even less favourably aligned. This should simply keep 3ft sets hitting south facing beaches, with much smaller 1-2ft waves at open beaches under fresh W/SW tending SW winds.

The S'ly swell is due to ease back through the weekend but winds should be more favourable Saturday and offshore from the W/NW as the S'ly swell fades from 2ft+ at south swell magnets.

Come Sunday there isn't expected to be much swell left at all with the run into next week looking tiny. Therefore try and work around the coming pulses of south swell and unfavourable winds to at least get a surf in.