Central QLD Forecaster Notes by Steve Shearer (updated on Wed 12th April)

This week and next week (Apr12-Apr21)

Central QLD: Hope on the horizon

No surf this week or weekend as a S’ly dominated pattern remains entrenched through the Tasman Sea.

Next week is looking much more dynamic with possibilities for some quality E/SE swell on the radar for breaks with exposure through the Capricorn Channel. 

We have a very dynamic outlook into next week with a large ‘trough-block” pattern establishing through the Tasman Sea and possibly extending int the South Pacific swell window. There’s still substantial variability run to run and between models so we’ll be revising these estimates up or down on Fri.

Through this period we’ll see E’ly winds infeeding into the long trough line with good odds of a discreet low forming in the trough line between New Caledonia and the North Island. These winds are aimed directly at the East Coast over a broad area which should see widespread SE’ly quadrant swell develop from Tues, up into the 2ft range at exposed Burnett breaks with SE winds.

Complicating matters further GFS has been suggesting a Tropical cyclone forming in the Coral Sea early next week with a proposed S’wards movement, parallel to the coast. Latest GFS model runs look pretty terrifying if this coast hugging system comes into existence as modelled. 

Huge swells and destructive weather can’t be ruled out at this point. This is a long way off and thus subject to low confidence so check back in Fri and in the comments as we come to grips with this dynamic pattern.

Seeya then