The Long Wave Trough will move into the Tasman Sea over the weekend. Normally this would suggest a sustained round of solid south swell, but in this case I don’t like the particular angle of the upstream flank on its western side. More in the Forecaster Notes.
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Over the last week the models have been toying around with a weak trough off the South Coast this weekend. More in the Forecaster Notes.
The Southern Ocean is still directing southerly energy through the Tasman Sea but it’s all a little more off-axis than the swells that provided fun waves for the first half of this week. Anyway, NE windswells will become the dominant swell train over the coming days. More in the Forecaster Notes.
Essentially, we’ve got a series of overlapping southerly swells on target for Southern NSW. And some NE swell at the end of the week. More in the Forecaster Notes.
Sunday’s south swell will be related to a small fetch associated a much broader, more complex series of polar lows and fronts further south. More in the Forecaster Notes.
Another series of poorly aligned fronts are approaching the southern tip of New Zealand from the south-west, and although the swell they’re generating will be aimed into the eastern Tasman Sea and South Pacific, we’ll see a small spread back into Southern NSW. More in the Forecaster Notes.
The models really aren’t handling this current southerly swell, nor any of the upcoming energy due throughout the week. More in the Forecaster Notes.
So, we’ve got a weekend of two halves. More in the Forecaster Notes.
The weekend’s northern Tasman Low that set up camp off New Zealand’s north-west tip earlier this week didn’t quite perform as well as model guidance indicated on Monday. More in the Forecaster Notes.
A strong E/SE fetch will develop off the west coast of the North Island today, holding into tomorrow morning, and this will kick up a nice E’ly tending E/SE swell for Southern NSW. More in the Forecaster Notes.