The Southern Ocean storm track is aimed well and truly away from our swell window, so we’re not expecting much, if any new energy for the rest of the week. Next week is very dynamic though. More in the Forecaster Notes.
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A dominant ridge of high pressure over the Tasman Sea will maintain mainly light variable winds all week. As for surf, the swell charts look devoid of activity but that belies what’s been happening in our acute south swell window over the last few days. More in the Forecaster Notes.
The wind outlook for the next fourteen days says it all: light and variable. All the result of a blocking high in the Tasman Sea.
The rest of the week will continue to see favourably light winds and weak sea breezes under a weak synoptic pattern. As for surf, the current southerly regime will persist for some time. More in the Forecaster Notes.
First glance of the swell graphs suggests tiny surf and light winds all week. However, we’ve got some really nice waves on the way. More in the Forecaster Notes.
Saturday morning will see a large Tasman Low intensify well off the Southern NSW coast. More in the Forecaster Notes.
Unfortunately, the latest model runs have narrowed the width of the responsible fetch - a post-frontal W/SW flow exiting eastern Bass Strait - and also tweaked its direction a little more zonally, away from our swell window. More in the Forecaster Notes.
The Tasman Low responsible for our current swell is reaching maturity to the east of Bass Strait, and peak swell energy will push across the coast overnight into Tuesday.
There’s been a bit of argy bargy in the models, with a significant downgrade overnight Thursday, but a slight correction this afternoon. More in the Forecaster Notes.
We’ve got plenty of swell due next week. More in the Forecaster Notes.