I’m not expecting much surf on Saturday. On Sunday, a new long period S’ly swell will fill in across the coast, but timing will be the key here. More in the Forecaster Notes.
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Thursday morning will be tiny to begin with. However, we've got some flukey south swell on the way. More in the Forecaster Notes.
So, the swell charts are flat-lined for the rest of the week. Though, the models had ~1ft surf for yesterday, and we ended up seeing occasional 3-4ft surf at south facing beaches. So, things aren’t always as they appear. More in the Forecaster Notes.
Make the most of Saturday, before we enter an extended period of small, flukey, peripheral southerly swells. There are still options though despite the flat-lined swell chart. More in the Forecaster Notes.
We’re now well and truly on the backside of Tuesday’s incredible ECL swell. But there's a lot more south swell on the way. Check out the Forecaster Notes for more details.
In 2015, Craig Brokensha penned an article When is an east coast low not an East Coast Low? Right now, we’ve got a classic, though rare example of the reverse.
The currently S’ly swell will reach a peak overnight, holding into Saturday morning before trending slowly downwards through Saturday and Sunday.
There’s a lot of activity in our south swell window. And it’s all associated with an amplifying the Long Wave Trough that’s bringing about an impressive cold snap to the region.
The projected southerly swells for this week have been up and down like a yo-yo throughout the model runs over the last few days. More in the Forecaster Notes.
A very significant node of the Long Wave Trough is expected to amplify into the Bight early next week. Although the mature phase of this event will generally occur inside the Tasmanian swell shadow (relative to NSW’s swell window), we’ll see a powerful secondary phase push through the lower Tasman Sea mid-week, generating large southerly swells for us. More in the Forecaster Notes.