Two more decent pulses of southerly swell to come and then slow until later next week.
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Back, to back, to back, to back southerly swells with generally favourable winds.
The models have shunted the next frontal sequence a little further to the west. As such, even though it’ll be much stronger, the primary fetch will be bisected by Tasmania (see chart below) and this has slightly tempered surf height and duration estimates. More in the Forecaster Notes.
A stronger cold front will push into the lower Tasman Sea later Sunday, and a long fetch trailing behind will generate an extended period of large S’ly groundswell for Southern NSW. More in the Forecaster Notes.
Our long run of E/NE swell - which kicked off last weekend - will slowly fade over the next few days, however the main feature on the forecast this week is an intense polar low that developed well SW of New Zealand over the weekend. More in the Forecaster Notes.
We have a really nice S/SE groundswell on the way, generated by an intense polar low developing off the ice shelf SW of New Zealand over the weekend. More in the Forecaster Notes.
Predominantly onshore winds are expected for the rest of the week, which will keep surface conditions a little below par. This is a shame as we’ve still got plenty of swell on the way. More in the Forecaster Notes.
From a forecasting perspective, we’re currently sitting at an awkward phase of the swell cycle. More in the Forecaster Notes.
Normally, large swell events identified a long time away usually downgrade over time. Fortunately, this event for next week has maintained its strength, in fact we’ve seen small upgrades from forecast to forecast, which is very encouraging. More in the Forecaster Notes.
There’s no major surf expected for the next few days. However, it won’t go flat either. Next week though.... More in the Forecaster Notes.