Unfortunately, the latest model runs have narrowed the width of the responsible fetch - a post-frontal W/SW flow exiting eastern Bass Strait - and also tweaked its direction a little more zonally, away from our swell window. More in the Forecaster Notes.
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The Tasman Low responsible for our current swell is reaching maturity to the east of Bass Strait, and peak swell energy will push across the coast overnight into Tuesday.
There’s been a bit of argy bargy in the models, with a significant downgrade overnight Thursday, but a slight correction this afternoon. More in the Forecaster Notes.
We’ve got plenty of swell due next week. More in the Forecaster Notes.
Easing S'ly swell tomorrow with decent conditions, slow thereafter until next week.
Multiple S'ly swell pulses over the weekend that are a little tricky to pin down with workable winds. One standout day for the weekend, with interesting developments later next week.
Small fun waves to end of the week ahead of building and tricky S'ly pulses (regarding timing) best from Sunday.
A strong round of Southern Ocean fronts will drive into the lower Tasman Sea later Friday, heralding a solid weekend sizeable south swell. More in the Forecaster Notes.
No change to the outlook - plenty of fun waves ahead. More in the Forecaster Notes.
We've got a slow upwards trend out of the E/NE from our developing trade flow in the northern Tasman Sea. And maybe a small S'ly swell too. More in the Forecaster Notes.