Improving surf for the coming days along with a large blocking patternPremium content for Swellnet Pro subscribers

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

We've got a very un-winter like forecast with lots of winds from the eastern quadrant but some fun groundswells on the way.

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Comments

PLStocks's picture
PLStocks's picture
PLStocks Monday, 1 Jul 2024 at 10:00am

depressing

nasigoreng's picture
nasigoreng's picture
nasigoreng Monday, 1 Jul 2024 at 10:20am

Global warming of the anus.

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Monday, 1 Jul 2024 at 10:29am

It's quite remarkable, not in a good way, well except for those hitting the exposed breaks.

goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot Monday, 1 Jul 2024 at 10:31am

I’ll take it.

Matparsons's picture
Matparsons's picture
Matparsons Monday, 1 Jul 2024 at 12:47pm

I feel like the winter has been trouble at the moment along the Vicco coast

drchris's picture
drchris's picture
drchris Monday, 1 Jul 2024 at 12:56pm

It’s atypical for sure . Craig how much of this is under the influence of La Niña oscillation vs chance vs climate change impacts . Seems that victorians haven’t seen an old school winter since pre Covid times .

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Monday, 1 Jul 2024 at 1:43pm

No Niña yet, still taking its time to develop in the Pacific Ocean so I'd say more so climate change related. Expanding tropics and southward shift of the sub-tropical ridge.

anthony.olsen's picture
anthony.olsen's picture
anthony.olsen Monday, 1 Jul 2024 at 6:18pm

I probably missed the memo but I thought we were headed to El Nino?

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Monday, 1 Jul 2024 at 6:19pm

Nah, we've just come out of El Niño.

anthony.olsen's picture
anthony.olsen's picture
anthony.olsen Wednesday, 3 Jul 2024 at 9:34am

Ah wow right ... I was expecting to bunker down for another long hot summer.

Looking at the years since 2000 that it's been El Nino, no wonder it looms large in my memory.

- 2001-2002
- 2004-2006
- 2009
- 2013-2015
- 2017-2020

Water restrictions in Vicco, stretches of hot northerlies and no real swell to speak of over summer etc etc

You have probably mentioned this before but is the climate pattern just expected to increase the frequency of oscillations between El Nino and La Nina?

I was hoping (and I bet everyone else) that we wouldn't have to sit through another summer of E and SE.

Sprout's picture
Sprout's picture
Sprout Monday, 1 Jul 2024 at 4:33pm

"Seems that victorians haven’t seen an old school winter since pre Covid times." - Sadly the same story on the Sunny Coast.

RockyIsland's picture
RockyIsland's picture
RockyIsland Monday, 1 Jul 2024 at 1:38pm

My sort of forecast
Rip Bowl delight

Weatherman's picture
Weatherman's picture
Weatherman Monday, 1 Jul 2024 at 5:34pm

What ever happened to winter westerlies and north westerlies?

JB1's picture
JB1's picture
JB1 Monday, 1 Jul 2024 at 6:21pm

Cracking forecast... do the miles, fun to be had.

goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot Tuesday, 2 Jul 2024 at 7:32am

The nor’easters haven’t shown up this morning.

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Tuesday, 2 Jul 2024 at 7:43am

Unfortunately not. Observations and hi-res models confirm that the trough axis is back a little more to the east, so onshore everywhere from about PI west.

goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot's picture
goofyfoot Tuesday, 2 Jul 2024 at 7:49am

Bugger! Hard to get excited for an onshore surf when it’s 8 degrees out

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Tuesday, 2 Jul 2024 at 7:50am

Indeed.