Victorian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday June 17th)

Best Days: Beaches tomorrow afternoon and Wednesday morning

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Inconsistent, small, mid-period W/SW swell building tomorrow PM, easing Wed
• S winds from Anglesea west, light N/NW-N to the east tomorrow
• N/NW winds Wed, tending N-N/NE to the east
• Tiny Thu with N/NE winds tending variable SE
• Inconsistent W/SW groundswell arriving later Thu, peaking Fri with strengthening S/SW winds
• Easing swell Sat with SW winds, possibly W/NW early Surf Coast

Recap

The exposed beaches to the east offered OK waves on Saturday with easing surf from Friday, while everywhere but the Phillip Island region and further east were average yesterday as a trough brought strong S’ly winds to the west, more variable to the east.

Today there's a mix of weak swells across all regions with onshore winds to the west, more variable to the east again.

This week and weekend (Jun 18 - 23)

As touched on last week, the coming period is very slow and not overly exciting thanks to the strong low in the southern Tasman Sea and high pressure to our west.

With this we’ve had our western and south-western swell windows shut down, with small, inconsistent levels of W/SW swell due build through tomorrow before easing slowly Wednesday.

Conditions tomorrow are a little tricky as a trough lingers in the region, bringing variable N-N/NW winds from about Anglesea further east, light S’ly to the west. Wednesday should offshore N/NW winds to the west and N-N/NE winds to the east which should favour the exposed beaches.

Size wise, the Surf Coast looks to struggle to 1-2ft tomorrow with infrequent sets reaching 3ft into the afternoon to the east, easing from a similar size on Wednesday morning.

Thursday looks smaller along with morning N/NE winds.

Our W/SW groundswell for the end of the week is still on track, but so are the average winds, as the remnants of the swell generating system moves in and across us Friday.

Currently a good fetch of strong to gale-force W/SW winds are being generated with it due to weaken while moving under the country over the coming days.

A moderate sized swell is due, with it expected to arrive later Thursday and peak Friday to 3ft+ on the Surf Coast and 4-5ft+ to the east.

Strengthening S/SW winds will unfortunately create poor conditions Friday with Saturday also looking dicey as the swell eases thanks to a moderate SW breeze. We may see it tip W/NW for a period but with easing 2ft+ sets on the Surf Coast.

Longer term mid-latitude storm activity looks to continue with no major swell due in the medium-term. Check back Wednesday for an update on when things might change.