Victorian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday June 7th)

Best Days: Tomorrow morning, Sunday morning Surf Coast, Monday (afternoon beaches), Thursday morning Surf Coast, Friday

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Easing W/SW groundswell tomorrow with variable tending S/SW winds
• New small-moderate sized mid-period W/SW swell Sun with W/NW winds, tending S/SW later AM
• Easing swell Mon with W/NW tending N/NW then N/NE winds
• Small new S/SW swell Tue with strengthening N/NW winds
• Moderate sized close-range W/SW swell Wed with strong W-SW winds
• Moderate + sized S/SW groundswell Thu with W/NW tending S/SE winds
• Easing swell slowly Fri with N/NE winds

Recap

Winds were OK in selected regions to the east of Melbourne yesterday morning with fun 3-4ft sets across the beaches, while today we’ve got similar conditions and a bit more size thanks to the arrival of an inconsistent W/SW groundswell.

The Surf Coast was 2ft or so yesterday with a little more size today but with pesky, average south-east winds.

This weekend and next week (Jun 8 - 14)

Following the unfavourable winds and conditions on the Surf Coast the last two days, we’re looking at more variable breezes into tomorrow morning across all regions but with a drop in swell from today.

The Surf Coast looks to ease back from 2ft+ with 4ft sets to the east and winds will remain light until midday before shifting S/SW into the afternoon.

Winds will shift back to the W/NW on Sunday morning, tending back to the S/SW later morning as a trough moves through, but we should see a new fun pulse of mid-period W/SW swell in the water.

The source is a mid-latitude low that formed west of Western Australia, north of our swell window, drifting south-east this morning and more into our western swell window while generating a tight fetch of strong to near gale-force winds.

A fun kick to 2-3ft is due on the Surf Coast with 4-5ft sets to the east, easing back slowly Monday with improving winds. A W/NW tending N/NW and then N breeze is due, with the exposed beaches to the east getting better and better after lunch as winds shift N/NE.

The rest of next week revolves around the merging of a mid-latitude low moving in through the Bight with a strong polar front projecting up from the south-west early-mid week.

The mid-latitude low structure looks poor for swell generation but the polar frontal system should produce a moderate + sized pulse of S/SW groundswell for Thursday, with some loca, low period swell ahead of it on Wednesday as the mid-latitude low moves through.

Local winds don’t look perfect but hopefully doable with a light W/NW breeze Thursday morning, shifting S/SE through the morning and afternoon with a quick shift back to the N/NE on Friday as the swell eases.

Size wise the Surf Coast should peak Thursday to 4-5ft with 6ft+ sets to the east.

The outlook is slower following this swell so try and work around making the most of it. Have a great weekend!