Victorian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday February 5th)

Best Days: Saturday, Sunday, Tuesday next week

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Easing swell tomorrow with moderate-fresh S/SW winds
• Smaller Wed with weaker S/SW winds (likely light W early on the Surf Coast)
• Small, weak SW swell Thu with mod-fresh S/SE winds
• Fading swell Fri with gusty S winds
• Large S/SW groundswell building Sat, peaking in the PM with light-moderate S/SW-S winds
• Easing swell Sun with variable offshore tending S winds
• Moderate sized reinforcing S/SW swell for Mon PM and Tue with variable S winds, increasing from the S/SE Mon
• Strengthening N/NE-N/NW winds Tue

Recap

What an incredible weekend of surf. Our large S/SW groundswell that showed into Friday afternoon and evening cleaned up beautifully into Saturday morning with large 6-8ft waves across the Surf Coast with the odd bigger bomb in the mix, easing through the day with workable sea breezes.

Yesterday morning was temporarily smaller but nice and clean with options to the east, coming in at 4-5ft but another strong pulse of strong groundswell arrived through the day though with bumpy conditions again into the afternoon. Not enough to ruin the swell though.

Winds backed off into the evening ahead of a stronger S/SW change overnight, creating bumpy conditions with good, moderate sized surf.

As touched on Friday, I hope you made the most of the weekend as the coming period is now quite average.

Magic Saturday (Romy Becker-Roache)

This week and weekend (Feb 6 - 11)

So now that the onshore wind is in and the significant swell generating storms have passed, we've got a subdued week of activity along with generally average winds and conditions.

The current swell generated by the 'bombing' low will fade into tomorrow with lingering, moderate to fresh S/SW winds. There's a very tiny chance for lighter W winds in pockets on the Surf Coast but it's not worth chasing.

Weaker S/SW winds are due on Wednesday, with a greater chance of a light W'ly on the Surf Coast but we'll be looking at fading 1-2ft sets.

A very small lift in mid-period SW swell is due on Thursday, generated by a weak passing under the country tomorrow, but S/SE winds will create average conditions with 2ft sets max on the Surf Coast, 3ft+ to the east.

Friday will be another lay day with gusty S winds and fading surf.

Moving into the weekend, a strong low is forecast to fire up in our south-western swell window as another tropical low in the Indian Ocean tracks south-east and is absorbed into the westerly storm track.

The low won't quite bomb, but we should still see it strengthen significantly, generating a fetch of severe-gale to storm-force W/SW-SW winds through our south-western and then southern swell windows. EC has this system a little weaker than GFS so we'll have to review this size, but we can expect a large pulse of S/SW groundswell Saturday, building to 6ft+ across the Surf Coast magnets later afternoon/evening, (6-8ft) to the east but with S/SW-S winds. Winds aren't expected to be overly strong so conditions should be workable as the swell kicks.

Sunday looks fun as the swell backs off steadily with light, local offshore winds but easing sets from 4ft or so on the Surf Coast, 5-6ft to the east.

Into next week, moderate sized levels of reinforcing S/SW groundswell are on the cards with varying winds, likely best Tuesday but more on this in the next update.