Victorian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 4th June)

Best Days: Saturday, Sunday, Monday, Tuesday morning protected spots, possibly Wednesday

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Easing mix of swells tomorrow with strengthening N/NW winds
• Building mid-period W/SW swell Sun with fresh N/NW winds, holding Mon with a slightly bigger SW pulse for the arvo with strong N winds
• Easing SW swell Tue with W/NW tending W/SW winds
• Good W/SW groundswell building Wed PM, peaking Thu AM with variable tending onshore SE winds

Recap

Fun waves for the patient and keen across most locations yesterday with Wednesday afternoon's inconsistent, mid-period SW swell easing back from 2ft and 3-4ft respectively with light, variable winds.

Today we've got a mix of new SW groundswell and additional mid-period swell to 3-4ft on the Surf Coast and 6ft to the east but with less than ideal conditions as a cold front pushes through.

This weekend and next week (Jun 5 - 11)

Today's cold, wet weather will clear into tomorrow as the cold front linked to it pushes east and another frontal system approaches from the west.

This will see winds swing fresh N/NW tomorrow, strengthening into the afternoon along with a mix of easing swells from 3ft to possibly 4ft on the Surf Coast early and 5-6ft to the east.

It looks like we'll see a temporary low point in swell early Sunday ahead of a new mid-period W/SW swell building through the day, generated by strong to gale-force pre-frontal W/NW winds, associated with the incoming front.

The Surf Coast will likely be 2-3ft in the morning, 3-5ft to the east with the new swell building to 3ft and 4-5ft+ respectively through the afternoon. Winds will persist from the N/NW, fresh to strong at times, with Monday seeing strong N'ly winds (possibly tending N/NE at times east of Melbourne).

This will be with similar levels of W/SW swell to Sunday afternoon, while some new, mid-period SW energy is due into the afternoon.

The better aligned SW swell should be generated by a broader trailing fetch of strong to gale-force W/SW winds on the backside of the frontal system, producing a bit more size to 3-4ft and 6ft respectively through the afternoon, easing from a similar size Tuesday morning.

Now, on Tuesday we're likely to see a small window of early W/NW winds before a W/SW change moves through as a broad, cold mid-latitude pushes in from the east and up across the south-east of the country.

The exact movements of the low and its position are still a little unsure but what's most likely is that we'll see it bringing variable tending onshore winds Wednesday as it drifts east across us, then strong SE overnight from the backside of the low, easing Thursday.

Depending on whether it deepens off the East Coast we may see stronger gales projected into us and a stormy SE windswell developing easing late week as winds improve.

Either way, a moderate sized W/SW groundswell is due from the earlier stages of the low at polar latitudes Sunday, arriving Tuesday afternoon and peaking Wednesday morning. Size wise 4-5ft sets are due on the Surf Coast, 6-8ft to the east but with those tricky winds.

Check back here Monday for a clearer idea on how the winds will play out into Wednesday and Thursday. In the meantime enjoy the weekend and early next week!