Victoria Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 6th December)

Best Days: Surf Coast keen surfers Friday morning, Sunday Surf Coast, both regions Monday morning and Tuesday morning

Recap

Workable waves across both coasts yesterday morning with some straight SW groundswell and cross-shore winds, coming in at 2-3ft at magnets on the Surf Coast and 3-5ft to the east.

This morning the swell has dropped back, with a poor quality SE windswell being the dominant energy on the Surf Coast with average winds.

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This week and weekend (Dec 7 - 10)

Tomorrow morning will be clean across most of the Surf Coast with a NW offshore, but the SW swell will continue to fade along with the SE windswell leaving 1-1.5ft sets. The Mornington Peninsula is likely to be around 2ft+ but bumpy and average.

Our new mid-period W/SW swell for Friday is still on track, generated by a weak front pushing up towards WA the last couple of days.

No major size is due off this front though, with 2ft sets at its peak across most spots on the Surf Coast, up to 2-3ft at 13th Beach when it peaks through the middle of the day afternoon. The Mornington Peninsula should reach 4-5ft on the sets, but W/SW winds will create poor conditions, W/NW for a period early on the Surf Coast.

Moving into the weekend and our strengthening polar front and secondary low combo have both weakened.

This isn't ideal but winds are now looking better for these two swells.

The first swell will be generated by a strengthening frontal system late in our swell window Friday evening and Saturday.

A broad fetch of strong W/SW winds should produce a mid-period SW swell that's expected to build through Saturday afternoon, peaking Sunday morning.

We should see consistent 2-3ft waves across most breaks on the Surf Coast Sunday morning, more towards 3ft at magnets, easing through the afternoon. The Mornington Peninsula should offer surf more towards 4-6ft Sunday morning.

A morning NW wind will favour the Surf Coast before sea breezes kick in, while Monday morning should see variable winds as we fall between swells.

Now, instead of the secondary low forming in behind this initial front, we'll see a weaker front generating a pre-frontal fetch of W/NW winds on top an active state.

A fun reinforcing SW swell should result, building Monday and reaching 3ft on the sets across the Surf Coast again, with 4-5ft+ waves on the Mornington Peninsula. This will however be with afternoon sea breezes.

Tuesday is looking better as the swell eases under a light morning N/NE breeze, but we'll have another look at this Friday.