Tiny surf to continue with average winds

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmanian forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday January 13th)

Best Days: No good days

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

  • Tiny tomorrow with S winds, freshening
  • Tiny, inconsistent W/SW groundswell for Wed PM and Thu with strengthening NE tending E/NE winds Wed, strong SW Thu
  • Building W/SW swell Thu, easing Fri with SW tending S/SE winds
  • Small SW swell Sat AM with SE winds

Recap

The weekend was generally poor and wind affected with tiny waves Saturday, increasing a touch on Sunday but with east in the morning offshore. Our inconsistent W/SW groundswell didn’t offer the much in the way of size unfortunately.

This morning was cleaner with a more variable breeze before a trough brought a change and choppy surf.

This week and weekend (Jan 14 - 19)

The coming days will remain tiny across Clifton as today’s swell backs off.

Winds will linger out of the S’th tomorrow following today’s change with strengthening NE tending E/NE winds ahead of a trough on Wednesday.

A very long-range W/SW groundswell is due to be out in the open ocean on Wednesday afternoon and Thursday but the source was distant and too far north of our swell window.

Into Thursday the trough will move across us, kicking up a tiny windswell that may reach 1-1.5ft but with strong SW winds.

This swell looks to fade into Friday though a secondary weak trailing front may generate a slightly better pulse into Saturday morning.

Unfortunately the remnants of the trough moving through Thursday will see SW tending S/SE winds on Friday, lingering out of the SE Saturday.

Longer term a broad, sustained low developing in the Tasman Sea will bring with it persisting winds out of the eastern quadrant while also shutting down our main swell window to the south-west. This points to a sustained run of tiny surf so maybe check the North East Forecaster Notes when updated.