Southern Tasmanian Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday December 23rd)

Best Days: Beginners Wednesday morning, Friday morning and Saturday, Sunday morning

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Small to tiny W/SW swell this afternoon and tomorrow AM, easing into Wed
• Fresh W/SW winds tomorrow ahead of S/SE sea breezes
• N/NW tending variable winds Wed ahead of mid-PM sea breezes
• New W/SW swell Fri with N/NW tending strong W/SW winds
• Tiny surf Sat with N/NW tending W/NW winds
• Small W/SW swell Sun with N/NW tending W/SW winds

Recap

Saturday started tiny, while a new swell filled in later in the day ahead of a peak yesterday morning to 1-1.5ft under light winds. It was only suitable for bigger boards and beginners with similar sized waves into this morning along with early light winds.

This week and weekend (Dec 24 - 29)

As touched on last week, this coming period will consistent of small to tiny west swells and tomorrow morning’s likely peak in energy will be met with moderate to fresh W/SW winds ahead of S/SE sea breezes.

Size wise 1-2ft of swell is due before easing into the afternoon and then backing off from 1-1.5ft Wednesday. Wednesday should come in cleaner though with a N/NW tending variable wind ahead of mid-afternoon sea breezes.

The rest of the week looks tiny, and a possible decent sized pulse of W/SW swell mentioned in Friday’s notes from a deepening low moving across us now coming in much weaker and faster.

With this, Friday isn’t likely to get above 1-1.5ft again and with N/NW tending strong W/SW winds, easing Saturday under offshore N/NW tending W/NW winds.

Sunday looks to offer the best chance for a wave as a weak but favourably aligned frontal system moves in under the country, with a fetch of strong W/SW winds expected to generate small 1-2ft waves.

Conditions look clean through the morning under a N/NW offshore, shifting W/SW into the afternoon.

Next week unfortunately looks to remain tiny thanks to west swells with some possible better energy later week. More on this Christmas Day.