Southern Tasmanian Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday September 25th)

Best Days: Tomorrow morning, Friday morning, Saturday and Sunday mornings

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Moderate sized + spike of S/SW swell this afternoon, easing tomorrow
• Moderate sized mid-period SW-S/SW swell tomorrow with gusty W/SW winds, lighter W-W/NW at dawn
• Easing swell Fri with N/NW tending SE winds
• Small building W/SW swell Sat with N/NW tending S winds, easing Sun with strong N tending NW winds
• Swell possiblities but with dicey winds mid-late next week

Recap

Monday’s large pulse of W/SW groundswell eased back into yesterday with some new Wly groundswell also in the mix to 3ft+ across Clifton early, easing into the afternoon. Conditions were clean most of the day with winds going a little north.

Today the surf was small and clean to 2ft, but an onshore change has since moved through along with a close-range increase in swell to 3ft+.

This week and weekend (Sep 26 - Oct 4)

Today’s building close-range swell has been generated by a tight, strong low moving under us and we should see Clifton hitting 4ft before easing tomorrow from the 3ft range.

As this swell eases though, it will be replaced by mid-period SW energy generated by a great fetch of strong SW winds projecting up and into us today.

This should add some additional swell to 3-4ft into the mix but with W/SW winds for the most part, likely W-W/NW at dawn.

Friday looks cleaner and fun with easing 2ft+ sets with a N/NW offshore ahead of a weak E/SE sea breeze.

Into the weekend, a small W/SW swell is due to fill in during Saturday afternoon, generated by an unfavourably aimed but healthy low forming under us Friday. A kick to 1-2ft is expected through the afternoon Saturday, easing from a similar size Sunday morning.

Winds look offshore ahead of sea breezes Saturday, strong N on Sunday before shifting NW later afternoon.

Now, early next week looks to start slow but we’ve got a bit of swell potential though with poor winds due mid-late next week as a strengthening frontal progression moves in and across us. 

More on this Friday though.