Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday July 3rd)

Best Days: Every day this period

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Smaller surf tomorrow with NW tending variable winds
• Moderate sized SW groundswell building Fri PM, peaking Sat, easing Sun
• NW tending W/NW and possibly late W/SW winds Fri
• NW tending variable W/NW winds Sat
• N/NW tending variable winds Sun
• Moderate sized, reinforcing SW swell Mon with N-N/NE winds, easing Tue with similar winds

Recap

Fun levels of S/SW swell maintained 3ft surf into yesterday with clean conditions, while this morning is back to the 2ft+ range and nice and clean again.

We've got a strong high sitting over us and this may break the record for high pressure over the coming days while also lowering the sea level by some 30cm or so. Read more on that here: Riding A July High

This week and weekend (Jul 4 - 6)

The surf will continue to ease into tomorrow with 1-2ft waves due through tomorrow under a NW tending variable wind, while into Friday afternoon and Saturday, our strong pulse of SW groundswell is on track.

The fetch linked to this swell is quite significant with severe-gale W/NW winds projecting south-east through our western and then south-western swell window.

A slight upgrade in the expected peak is now due on Saturday with Friday afternoon likely to reach 2-3ft by dark with 3ft+ sets Saturday morning, easing into the afternoon but still coming in at 2-3ft on Sunday.

Weaker but trailing frontal activity should then produce some reinforcing SW groundswell for Monday, to 2-3ft again.

Looking at the local winds and NW tending W/NW winds are due Friday, possibly W/SW later with light NW tending variable W/NW winds Saturday, N/NW tending variable Sunday. N-N/NE winds will provide plenty of options Monday, similar Tuesday as the swell fades.

Longer term it looks like the large, dominant high currently setup across us will move east and be followed by strong Southern Ocean frontal activity, bringing plenty fo W’ly swell. More on this Friday.