Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday July 1st)

Best Days: Tomorrow, Wednesday morning, later Friday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Moderate sized S/SW swell easing tomorrow with W/NW-NW winds, tending SW late, smaller Wed with W/NW-NW winds, tending S into the PM
• Moderate sized SW groundswell building later Fri, peaking Sat
• Reinforcing S/SW swell Sun PM and Mon AM
• NW-N/NW tending variable winds Fri through to Mon

Recap

An inconsistent groundswell seen into Friday afternoon eased back from 1-2ft on Saturday morning, while yesterday, a deepening low moving across us brought with it a moderate sized increase in swell but with average winds.

Conditions have improved into today and this afternoon is looking good with the rising tide and 3ft sets as our better pulse of mid-period S/SW swell fills in.

New swell this afternoon

This week and weekend (Jul 2 - 6)

We’ve got some fun surf days ahead with polar frontal activity generating S/SW swell pulses, with the first coming in at 3ft this afternoon, easing back tomorrow morning from a similar size.

Wednesday will be smaller but still 2ft and local winds are favourable with a W/NW-NW tending late SW breeze tomorrow, W/NW-NW tending variable and then S into the afternoon Wednesday.

The surf looks to bottom out on Thursday but come Friday, we should see some new W/SW-SW groundswell filling in, peaking Saturday.

The source will be an east-southeast tracking cold front from the Indian Ocean, deepening once reaching the polar shelf, but then weakening whilst pushing east under us.

A good 2-3ft of groundswell is likely from this system possibly later Friday but more so Saturday with a trailing front likely to generate a similar sized S/SW pulse for Sunday afternoon/Monday morning.

Winds on Friday look offshore from the N/NW all day, similar Saturday, Sunday and Monday.

This looks like a fun run of swell and surf with tiny waves due to follow from mid-next week. More on this Wednesday.