Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday March 11th)

Best Days: Today, Wednesday morning, Saturday morning, Sunday morning

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Easing swell tomorrow with gusty SW-W/SW winds
• Mix of W/SW swells for Wed, peaking through the PM with variable tending strong S/SE winds
• Easing swell Thu with SW winds
• New mid-period S/SW swell Fri with fresh SSW-SW winds
• Easing swell Sat, with a new S/SE groundswell building with W/NW tending S/SE winds
• Easing S/SE groundswell Sun with N tending S/SE winds

Recap

Small to tiny, fading surf on Saturday with near flat conditions yesterday.

Today our inconsistent W/SW groundswell is in the water, with it expected to come in at 2-3ft but it looks to have been more so 2ft but a good, fun 2ft.

Good surf this AM

This week and weekend (Mar 12 - 17)

Today's swell is due to ease into tomorrow with slower, leftover 1-2ft sets max early but with a fresh SW-W/SW breeze thanks to a frontal system moving through.

This front is linked to Wednesday's swell with it being the remnants of a strong polar low that formed, east of the Heard Island on the weekend. The swell from this low will be inconsistent, building to 2-3ft through the day across Clifton, with some closer-range mid-period swell to 2ft+ due in the morning.

Winds look variable in the morning, creating clean conditions before strong S/SE sea breezes kick in, smaller and easing from 2ft on Thursday with lingering SW winds.

This will be thanks to a secondary weak, polar front moving through, bringing a reinforcing swell for Friday to 2ft+ but with fresh S/SW-SW winds. Not ideal at all.

The weekend should see winds ease and likely tend W/NW in the morning on Saturday but with small, easing 1-2ft sets.

Some inconsistent S/SE groundswell is on the cards for the afternoon though, generated by a good fetch of SE gales sitting south of New Zealand, on the polar shelf on Wednesday,

The fetch is quite board and as a result the swell should have some good size, building to 3ft across Clifton during the day, easing back from a similar size Sunday morning as winds swing light N'ly. Expect bigger waves down the South Arm as well.

Following this we've got smaller surf due into next week ahead of some W/SW swell energy mid-late week. More on this Wednesday.