Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday February 21st)

Best Days: Selected spots Saturday morning, early Sunday, Tuesday

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Moderate sized W/SW swell building later Fri, peaking from the SW Sat AM with strong W/SW-SW winds
• Easing small swell Sun with variable tending S/SW winds mid-AM
• Small, weak W/SW swell Tue with N/NW winds ahead of a late W/SW change
• Building levels of W/SW swell later week

Recap

A drop in swell across the region yesterday back to 1-2ft with favourable winds, similar this morning ahead of fresh sea breezes.

This week and weekend (Feb 22 - 25)

The surf will bottom out into tomorrow, with Friday also likely remaining tiny most of the day thanks to an incoming W/SW groundswell being generated by a strong low sitting too far north of our swell window.

The swell generated by the backside of the low as it moves across us Friday afternoon and evening now looks a little better, with a fetch of strong W/SW-SW winds being projected through our south-western swell window.

This should produce a good pulse of size to 3ft+ Saturday morning, easing through the day, down from 1-2ft on Sunday.

Unfortunately winds on Saturday look to be strong from the W/SW-SW, creating poor conditions, clean at dawn Sunday with a NW offshore before a trough brings a S/SW change mid-morning.

Monday looks tiny, with a weak front passing under is due to generate a small 1-2ft wave Tuesday with clean conditions.

Better swell generating activity will follow into the middle to end of the week, firing up to the south-west of Western Australia, bringing building levels of swell that look to peak next weekend under a westerly flow. More on this Friday.