Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday February 16th)

Best Days: Sunday, Tuesday morning

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Tiny early tomorrow with some new mid-period W/SW swell and groundswell for the PM, peaking Sun
• NW tending S/SE winds tomorrow, NW tending variable ahead of late W/SW winds Sun
• Small-moderate sized mid-period W/SW swell Mon with mod-fresh W/SW tending S then S/SE winds
• Easing swell Tue with N/NE tending fresh E winds
• Possible strong W groundswell late next week/weekend

Recap

Small, but clean 1-2ft waves yesterday, while today the size has dropped back a notch more.

This weekend and next (Feb 17 - 23)

It looks like we'll reach a temporary low point in swell activity tomorrow morning ahead of some new mid-period swell and groundswell mix into the afternoon and Sunday.

The mid-period energy has been generated by weak frontal systems moving under the country the last few days, with the groundswell produced in our far swell window.

A kick to 1-2ft is due tomorrow afternoon, more so 2ft on Sunday.

Conditions will be clean tomorrow ahead of sea breezes, with Sunday seeing NW tending variable winds ahead of a late W/SW breeze.

Our new mid-period swell for Monday now looks a little weaker, with the frontal system linked to it now being quite as strong as it moves in Sunday.

Still, a good fetch of strong W'ly winds should generate a fun kick in size to 2ft+, easing from 1-2ft on Tuesday.

Unfortunately winds on Monday still look dicey with a moderate to fresh W/SW breeze due to shift S and then S/SE through the day, better Tuesday with N/NE offshores, tending E'ly through the day and freshening.

Following this little run of swell the outlook goes a little quiet with a down period ahead of some new W'ly swell later next week/weekend from a strong but average positioned low under the country. We'll have a closer look at this on Monday though. Have a great weekend!