Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday February 9th)

Best Days: Tomorrow, Sunday morning, Monday morning, possibly dawn Tuesday

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Large S/SW groundswell for tomorrow AM, easing steadily through the day with moderate S/SW tending S/SE winds
• Smaller Sun with N/NW winds ahead of S/SE sea breezes
• Small sized mid-period SW swell for Mon, peaking through the day with N/NW tending S winds
• Easing swell Tue with a S change moving in early-mid AM

Recap

A fun but inconsistent S/SE groundswell provided 2-3ft sets across Clifton yesterday and this morning with favourable winds which have shifted onshore both days into the afternoon.

Good surf for the dawny this AM

This week and weekend (Feb 10 - 16)

Looking at the weekend ahead and our large spike of S/SW groundswell due tomorrow is still on track, with a strong polar low firing up to the south-west of Tasmania yesterday.

A great fetch of severe-gale to storm-force winds have been projected through our south-western swell window, with the low now slowly weakening while pushing east, more into out southern swell window.

This will result in a large spike of S/SW groundswell for tomorrow morning to the 6ft range across Clifton, easing steadily through the day and further from 3ft+ or so Sunday morning.

Winds tomorrow will favour selected spots with a moderate S/SW tending S/SE breeze due, while Sunday looks nice and clean with a N/NW offshore, giving into mid-afternoon sea breezes.

Monday will see a new mid-period SW swell arriving, generated by a fetch of strong W/NW-NW winds moving in behind the polar low.

This should boost Clifton to 2ft+ through the day and with N/NW offshores ahead of a shallow S'ly change.

This swell will ease through Tuesday but a trough looks to bring a S'ly change fairly early in the day. We'll check the timing on Monday.

Longer term small swells look to continue thanks to continued polar frontal activity. It won't be as strong as we've seen but there'll be waves. Have a great weekend!