Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday December 6)

Best Days: Thursday morning and Friday morning beginners, Monday morning beginners, Tuesday onwards next week

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Tiny W/SW swell tomorrow and Fri with morning offshore winds ahead of S/SE sea breezes
• Gusty S/SW winds Sat with tiny swell, lighter SW Sun
• Tiny Mon with offshore winds ahead of sea breezes
• Mod-large SW groundswell for Tue AM with N/NW tending S/SE winds
• Easing swell with morning offshore winds

Recap

Tiny, clean waves yesterday morning, while today the surf has remained tiny and favourable for beginners, with a front due to bring a pulse of windswell to 1-2ft this afternoon but with bumpy conditions.

Tiny beginner waves this AM

This week and weekend (Dec 7 - 10)

The front linked to this afternoon's pulse of weak W/SW swell will clear tomorrow, leaving tiny, fading 1-1.5ft sets.

N/NW offshore winds will create clean conditions ahead of S/SE sea breezes, while Friday, tiny 1-1.5ft waves should persist as some small, background W/SW energy fills in.

Offshore winds will again create clean conditions before sea breezes kick in.

Looking at the weekend and a trough passing through Friday evening will linger to our east on Saturday, bringing poor S/SW winds, lighter Sunday and more SW in the morning but with no real swell.

Monday looks small to tiny, but come Tuesday, our strong SW groundswell is still on track, with a polar low due to fire up to the south-west of Western Australia, generating a fetch of severe-gale W/NW-W winds while pushing closer towards us.

The swell looks moderate-large sized and peaking Tuesday morning to 4-5ft+ at this stage across Clifton with light N/NW offshore winds before sea breezes kick in.

A secondary weaker storm looks to produce a reinforcing groundswell for later week with tricky winds. We'll have a closer look at this Friday.