Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday October 6th)

Best Days: Selected spots tomorrow morning, Sunday morning, Monday morning, Tuesday morning

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Large, easing SW groundswell tomorrow with W/NW tending strong S/SW winds
• Moderate sized S/SW groundswell building Sun with W/NW tending fresh SW winds
• Easing S/SW swell Mon with an inconsistent W/SW groundswell in the mix
• W/NW-NW winds, tending gusty S/SW
• Easing surf Tue with variable tending S/SE winds

Recap

Tiny, onshore surf, while today conditions are still a mess but with a large SW groundswell on the build. It should reach 6ft by close of play but with limited options for a paddle.

Solid sets this arvo

This weekend and next week (Oct 7 - 13)

This afternoon's large pulse of SW groundswell will ease over the weekend though still be quite solid in size tomorrow morning and overpowering the beaches.

Easing sets from 5ft+ are due across Clifton and a morning W/NW breeze will favour protected spots before shifting S/SW through the day and strengthening.

We've got a good pulse of reinforcing S/SW groundswell due on Sunday now, generated by the trailing frontal system linked to Monday's less consistent swell.

This front generated gale to severe-gale W/NW winds in our far swell window and weakened into yesterday but is now re-strengthening south-west of us.

An additional fetch of W/NW gales are being produce and this should generate a good pulse of swell for Sunday arriving mid-late morning and pulsing back to 3ft+ across Clifton.

Unfortunately winds will shift onshore late morning after an early W/NW breeze, fresher SW into the afternoon.

This swell should ease Monday as the less consistent W/SW groundswell arrives, with easing 2-3ft sets due under a W/NW-NW offshore. The afternoon looks dicey again as winds go back onshore, possibly variable Tuesday morning with easing 2ft surf.

Later in the week and next weekend we should see the swell rising again as a mix of strengthening mid-latitude and polar storms move in from the west. This will bring increasing surf with wind from Friday but more so next weekend. More on this Monday. Have a great weekend!