Southern Tasmanian Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday October 4th)

Best Days: Friday selected spots, Saturday morning, Sunday morning, Monday morning, Tuesday morning

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Moderate W/SW tending strong SW winds tomorrow
• Large SW groundswell building Fri, peaking later, easing Sat
• Strong SW winds Fri, W/NW tending SW on Sat
• Smaller Sun with W/NW tending W/SW winds
• Fun, reinforcing groundswell Mon AM with W/NW winds, shifting S/SW late AM
• Easing surf Tue with variable tending S/SE winds

Recap

Tiny surf yesterday and today, with developing onshores thanks to a deepening low north-east of us.

This week and next week (Oct 5 - 8)

The surf will remain tiny tomorrow along with W/SW tending strong SW winds thanks to the low sitting north-east of us moving off the NSW coast, to a positioned right off our North East coast.

We'll then see the low starting to clear east on Friday but strong SW winds will persist across Clifton as our large SW groundswell fills in.

The source of this swell was a low that 'bombed' east of the Heard Island earlier this week, pushing east while generating a fetch of storm-force W'ly winds.

The low is slowly weakening while approaching closer and we're due to see the swell arriving early Friday morning, building to a strong 6ft into the afternoon across Clifton before easing Saturday from 5ft+.

Winds should tend W/NW for a period on Saturday morning before reverting back to the SW-S/SW, similar Sunday with W/SW afternoon winds.

The easing trend will be stalled into Monday morning thanks to the arrival of a reinforcing SW groundswell, produced by a fetch of gale to severe-gale W/NW winds following the 'bombing' low and this should provide 2ft+ sets. The swell will ease through the day and fade Tuesday.

Winds will again be an issue but favourable in the morning and W/NW, shifting SW-S/SW later morning Monday and then variable Tuesday ahead of sea breezes.

Longer term there's nothing major due for the rest of the week so try and get a paddle in over the coming days working the average winds.