Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 27th August)

Best Days: Beginners tomorrow morning, Monday morning and Tuesday morning, Thursday

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Fading SW swell tomorrow with light N/NW tending light E/SE winds
• Tiny W'ly swells Mon/Tue
• Good W/SW groundswell building later Wed with gusty N tending E/NE winds, peaking Thu with gusty N-N/NE winds

Recap

A good pulse of swell yesterday but with onshore winds. This morning we've got smaller leftovers and some small bump with a light onshore easterly wind. Selected spots were the pick.

This weekend and next week (Aug 28 – Sep 3)

Seeing the size reported at only 1-2ft this morning, I'm a little concerned regarding tomorrow morning's size but we'll hopefully still see 1-2ft leftovers early, if not more 1-1.5ft surf. This will be ideal for beginners.

Conditions will be cleaner with a N/NW offshore, giving into weak E/SE sea breezes. So surf before lunch.

We then enter a tiny run of surf, with inconsistent and small west swells unlikely to budge much over 1ft Monday and Tuesday.

Of greater importance is a broad and strong frontal progression that's due to fire up towards Western Australia and push east towards us through next week.

Most of the activity will be a bit too far north of our swell windows but we should see a great fetch of severe-gale W/SW winds projected towards us Monday and Tuesday. The progression will weaken once on approach to us, dipping south-east with the moderate sized W/SW groundswell due to build Wednesday and peak Thursday.

We should see good 3ft sets across Clifton and with the progression slipping south-east, winds will be gusty but N-NE'ly the whole swell cycle. A trough may bring a change on Friday as the swell eases but we'll look at this closer on Monday.

Longer term the outlook looks slow again. In the meantime have a great weekend!