Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 14th June)

Best Days: Selected locations tomorrow, possibly early Friday, Saturday

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Tiny, inconsistent W/SW groundswell for Wed with N/NE tending fresh E/NE winds
• Inconsistent W/SW groundswell Fri with freshening S/SW winds, easing Sat with W/NW tending variable winds
• New W/SW groundswell for Sun PM with N/NW tending variable winds

Recap

Onshore surf continued into Saturday and Sunday, only cleaning up today but tiny.

This week and weekend (Jun 15 – 20)

Tomorrow will remain tiny to flat, but we've got our tiny, inconsistent W/SW groundswell for Wednesday.

This was generated over the weekend in our far swell window and might provide 1-1.5ft sets across Clifton for the patient. Expect long waits for the tiny runners but conditions will be favourable for exposed breaks with a moderate N/NE tending fresh E/NE breeze.

Thursday will become tiny as N/NW breezes give into a shallow S change.

Looking at the end of the week, and a good W/SW groundswell is due across the state Friday, generated by a strong polar low that's currently around the Heard Island region. A fetch of storm-force W/SW winds are projecting east, with the swell due to arrive late Thursday but peak Friday to 2-3ft across Clifton.

Unfortunately a trough and low forming in the Tasman Sea looks to bring freshening S/SW winds on Friday, swinging back to the W/NW Saturday morning if we're lucky as the swell eases from 2ft+.

A secondary pulse of similar sized W/SW groundswell should be seen into Sunday afternoon, generated by a secondary low moving in behind the first. A pre-frontal fetch of W/NW tending W/SW gale to severe-gales should produce a similar 2-3ft of swell for Sunday afternoon, easing from 2ft+ Monday morning.

Winds should be favourable and N/NW tending variable both Sunday and Monday, but we'll confirm this Wednesday and Friday.

Longer term there's still nothing major on the cards with the Southern Ocean remaining relatively quiet along with mid-latitude systems firing up towards Western Australia. More on this next update.