Poor week, better next week
Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 31st May)
Best Days: Beginners Wednesday afternoon and Thursday morning, Saturday morning
Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)
- Tiny W/SW swell for Wed PM with N/NW tending variable winds, easing Thu with similar winds
- New W/SW groundswell Fri, mixed with a building SW windswell, easing Sat with NW winds
Recap
A good, though lumpy S'ly swell to 2-3ft on Saturday, cleaner Sunday and easing from a fun 1-2ft.
This morning there isn't too much left in the tank with tiny waves for beginners.
This week and weekend (Jun 1 – 7)
A touched on last week, the coming week isn't favourable at all for surfing. A couple of weak and distant polar systems look to generate small, inconsistent pulses of W/SW groundswell but size wise they look tiny.
The first swell, due into Wednesday afternoon has been generated by polar front on Saturday, with infrequent sets to 1-1.5ft max due. Keep your expectations low. Winds will be favourable though with a variable N/NW breeze into the afternoon, clean again Thursday as the swell eases from 1-1.5ft.
Into Friday a secondary, similar sized pulse of swell is due, generated by a slightly stronger but tight polar low, though we'll likely see a localised W/SW windswell pushing above this.
The windswell will be generated as a small mid-latitude low deepens across us Thursday night, projecting a short-lived fetch of strong to gale-force SW winds into us.
This will bring onshore winds with it on Friday and building windswelly waves to 2ft+ or so, clean Saturday morning with a NW offshore and easing 1-2ft sets.
There's a bit more swell potential following the poor week, with a stronger and broader Southern Ocean cold outbreak expected through the weekend and into next week.
At this stage it looks a touch patchy but we'll see building, windy westerly swells into next week, possibly large mid-week, but we'll have a closer look at this in the coming updates.