Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 21st May)

Best Days: Tomorrow, Sunday, Monday for beginners, Tuesday

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Mix of W/SW swells tomorrow with fresh N-N/NE winds, smaller Sun with N tending fresh E/NE winds
• Inconsistent W/SW groundswell for Tue with strng N/NE winds

Recap

Tiny surf yesterday with the swell bottoming out, while today our new mix of swells have filled in with clean conditions and sets to 2-3ft.

This weekend and next week (May 22 - 28)

Today's lift in swell should start to ease this afternoon, but we'll still see 2ft sets tomorrow morning.

A reinforcing pulse of swell should maintain 2ft waves through the afternoon, generated by a great pre-frontal fetch of W/NW gales moving through our swell window yesterday and under us this morning.

Winds will be favourable with a fresh N-N/NE breeze holding all day, N tending fresh E/NE on Sunday as a smaller and flukier W/SW swell fills in. This only looks to come in at 1-2ft before fading Monday from 1-1.5ft.

The inconsistent W/SW groundswell for Tuesday is on track, with the strong though distant polar low linked to it generating a great fetch of storm-force W/SW winds in our far swell window. The low will project north-east up towards Western Australia, out of our swell window with the groundswell due to travel towards us, losing size and consistency.

It should come in at an inconsistent 2ft on Tuesday with strong N/NE winds, fading Wednesday with N/NW breezes ahead of a strong W/SW change.

Following the change we may see a polar front bring a weak, mid-period SW swell for late week but with onshore winds. More on this Monday. Have a great weekend!