Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 29th March)

Best Days: Beginners tomorrow, Sunday, Monday, Tuesday

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

• Weak S'ly swell fading tomorrow with NW tending variable winds
• Tiny swell for Fri
• Good W/SW swell building Sun, easing slowly Mon with favourable winds

Recap

Tiny to flat surf over the weekend while a cold front has brought onshore winds and a small kick in swell today.

This week and next (Mar 30 – Apr 9)

Today's weak increase in swell will ease back through tomorrow leaving tiny 1-1.5ft waves across Clifton but with a light NW breeze, tending variable into the afternoon. This will be ideal for beginners.

You’ll have to till the weekend to get the next surf in, as we'll see strengthening but poorly aligned fronts and lows tracking south-east through our swell window over the coming days, but this isn't due to produce anything over 1ft late week.

The models are incorrectly combining swells Friday and over-forecasting the size.

A much better, stronger and broader polar frontal progression will move in late week, with an elongated fetch of strong to gale-force W/SW winds stretching out and under us Friday and Saturday, weakening slowly Sunday.

This should produce a moderate sized W/SW swell, building Sunday, peaking into the afternoon and easing Monday. Sets to 3ft are due across Clifton with NW tending W/NW winds on the former, W/NW tending SW on the former.

Longer term we might be looking at another good groundswell mid-late week, but more on this in the coming updates.