Mostly onshore winds with minimal swell

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 16th October)

Best Days: Sunday morning for the keen

Features of the Forecast (tl;dr)

  • Tiny surf with varying, mostly onshore winds
  • Small kick in swell Sunday with light morning winds
  • Inconsistent W/SW groundswell for Tuesday/Wednesday

Recap

Tiny surf yesterday with a weak windswell today.

This week and weekend (Oct 17 - 20)

There’s nothing of note to end off the week with tiny, weak windsells due to dominate Clifton along with E/SE tending S/SW winds tomorrow and strengthening S/SW winds Friday as a trough deepens to our east.

This won’t bring any swell with it, leaving tiny surf into Saturday as winds go onshore again around dawn after swinging offshore in the early hours.

A small, weak mid-period W/SW swell should be seen Sunday, generated by a weak polar fetch of W’ly winds that are currently south-southwest of Western Australia.

Size wise this swell only looks to reach 1-2ft across Clifton, with a late pulse likely Saturday, peaking Sunday.

Conditions on Sunday are tricky with a small surface trough due to linger in the region, with winds possibly swinging W/SW to W/NW, but for the most part be variable, creating workable conditions for the keen ahead of sea breezes.

Into next week, a new W/SW swell is due across the state, generated by an OK looking low developing around the Heard Island region tomorrow afternoon/evening.

The low will track just in our western swell window with a fetch of strong to gale-force W/SW winds projected east towards us, under the country. Size wise we may see 1-2ft sets across Clifton as the swell builds Tuesday afternoon, but again winds look to be onshore. As the swell eases Wednesday, cleaner conditions are due, but we’ll look at this closer Friday.

Longer term the outlook remains void of any major activity, but check back here Friday for the latest.