Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 9th November)

Best Days: Tomorrow and Wednesday mornings, possibly Sunday morning

Recap

A solid kick in swell on Saturday with lighter winds than expected through the morning, bumpy and choppy into the afternoon.

Yesterday conditions became much cleaner with the swell dropping back from 3ft, down further and from 2ft+ today.

This week and weekend (Nov 10 - 15)

The current surf will continue to ease over the coming days, though small reinforcing pulses should maintain 2ft sets across Clifton tomorrow and Wednesday morning, fading thereafter.

These reinforcing swells have been generated by trailing fetches of west to west-northwest winds in the wake of the strong polar frontal progression linked to Saturday's swell.

Winds will be better for other beaches away from Clifton from mid-morning onwards with a N/NE tending E/NE breeze tomorrow, similar Wednesday and stronger.

Thursday will see similar winds but the surf will be tiny and fading.

As touched on last update, the outlook beyond the current surf is poor with an upper level blocking pattern developing across us on the weekend.

This will deflect any Southern Ocean storms away from us and to the south-east.

A weakening mid-latitude low drifting in from the Bight may generate a weak S/SE fetch on its southern flank as it passed over us on the weekend. If this does occur we'll see a small S/SE swell filling in Sunday with hopefully variable winds. More on this and possible follow up swells from polar activity on Wednesday.