Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 30th October)

Best Days: Beginners over the coming days each morning, Thursday morning, Friday

Recap

Nothing to surf yesterday, while there's a tiny lift in W/SW groundswell today.

This weekend and next week (Oct 31 – Nov 6)

One look at the forecast graph for the long-term across the South Arm points to tiny surf until next Thursday.

And that'll be the trend with tiny beginners waves due on the weekend. Tomorrow will be lucky to top 1ft, while there might be a slightly bigger 1-1.5ft wave Sunday from a weak low tracking east-southeast through our swell window.

Winds should be offshore early tomorrow ahead of a weak, mid-morning SE change, similar Sunday. Monday should be cleaner longer through the morning ahead of sea breezes.

The surf is likely to become flat Tuesday/Wednesday morning ahead of a new inconsistent W/SW groundswell for Thursday, tending more SW in direction while easing Friday.

The source of this swell is a distant, broad but not overly strong low, moving slowly through our swell window this weekend and early next week.

Initially a distant fetch of W/SW gales will be generated in our western swell window, followed by weaker strong W/SW winds closer to our swell window.

The size of the swell looks only to be 2ft to occasionally 3ft or so on Thursday and inconsistent with long waits for sets, easing back to 2ft on Friday.

Winds on Thursday are a little dicey with variable breezes likely ahead of a trough and SE change, back offshore Friday if we're lucky.

Following this activity some better polar frontal activity is due to develop under the country, closer to us, but more on this Monday. Have a great weekend!