Tiny run of surf until later next week

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 28th October)

Best Days: Beginners Saturday and Sunday, later next week

Recap

Easing 1-2ft waves yesterday with a bit of bump, tiny and onshore today.

This week and weekend (Oct 29 – Nov 1)

A low point in swell is expected tomorrow morning ahead of a tiny, inconsistent W'ly groundswell arriving late in the day and peaking Friday.

This was generated too far north to produce anything really over 1ft across Clifton, fading Saturday.

Winds tomorrow will be better and light out of the N/NW ahead of afternoon sea breezes and then variable at dawn Friday but giving into a S/SW change shortly thereafter as a trough moves through.

It looks like winds will quickly revert back to the N/NW on Saturday morning but with no change in the surf department.

Come Sunday we should see a slight uptick in size, generated by a weak though broad low drifting east-southeast through our swell window over the coming days.

While not ideally aimed, a fetch of strong W/NW winds will move through our swell window, likely providing 1-1.5ft waves Sunday morning.

A variable NE breeze should create OK conditions for beginners, with the swell cleaner early next week but fading.

Later next week a better W/SW tending SW groundswell is on the cards, produced by a broad and strong polar low firing up in our far swell window.

The low is due to form this weekend around the Heard Island region, generating a good fetch of slow moving gale to severe-gale W/SW winds in our medium-range western swell window.

It'll weaken while approaching closer, swinging the swell more SW as it eases.

We should see fun though inconsistent 2-3ft sets building Thursday and peaking into the afternoon, easing from 2ft Friday.

We'll likely see follow up frontal activity, but more on this Friday.