Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 7th October)

Best Days: Beginners Saturday morning and early Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday

Recap

The swell for yesterday and today seems to have come under expectations with only small, 2ft waves reported, easing back from 1-2ft today.

This week and weekend (Oct 8 - 11)

Any swell seen today will fade through tomorrow leaving tiny 1-1.5ft waves across Clifton and strengthening E/NE winds associated with a deepening mid-latitude low moving across us will create choppy conditions across Clifton, better at other breaks.

The low will dip further south Friday, swinging winds from the NW to W but there'll be no swell to surf.

Moving into the weekend and more so next week, we've got some inconsistent W'ly groundswell on the cards. The weekend's swell won't have any size attached to it with inconsistent 1ft sets due across Clifton Saturday and Sunday.

The source of this swell was a broad and healthy but distant frontal progression south-west of WA.

Winds should be favourable for beginners though with a W/NW'ly Saturday morning ahead of SE sea breezes, then dawn W/NW winds Sunday, quickly shifting SW mid-morning.

Moving into next week and as flagged on Monday, a stronger, further south positioned and better aligned frontal progression firing up around the Heard Island region today should produce a good fetch of W/SW gales in our far swell window, moving into our medium range window tomorrow.

It'll be inconsistent but the swell should offer infrequent 2ft to possibly 3ft sets and with a favourable N/NW offshore ahead of weak sea breezes.

A secondary, tighter, stronger low forming on the tail of the initial progression looks to generate a reinforcing W/SW groundswell for Tuesday to 3ft or so, but more on this Friday.