Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 23rd September)

Best Days: Tomorrow morning, Friday morning for beginners, protected spots Sunday and Monday morning, Tuesday morning

Recap

Tiny, easing surf for beginners yesterday, tiny and onshore today.

This week and weekend (Sep 24 - 27)

There's been an upgrade in the S/SE swell due in the wake of today's change, with a good fetch of strong S/SE winds being projected up and into us from last night through this afternoon.

We should see the swell kick later today but likely peak overnight and then ease back from 2-3ft tomorrow morning, tiny Friday.

Winds should improve tomorrow and swing from a light dawn W/NW'ly around to the N/NW ahead of SE sea breezes. So tomorrow definitely looks like a surf day with the peaky S/SE swell.

Friday morning will be great for beginners with N/NW winds ahead of a weak S'ly change.

Moving into the weekend and our eyes are on the weak though broad polar front that's forecast to project up and into us Saturday and Sunday.

This will produce a fetch of strong S/SW winds and kick in stormy S/SW swell to 3ft or so later Saturday with Sunday seeing 3ft to possibly 4ft sets. A secondary weaker front moving in Sunday should keep the surf around 2-3ft into Monday, then easing Tuesday.

Winds through this period aren't great with strong SW breezes Saturday, W/SW Sunday. Monday may see a morning W'ly but it'll still be bumpy, with a true offshore Tuesday. We'll review this on Friday though.

We may also see a good S/SE groundswell mid-next week from the formation of a deep low below New Zealand in the wake of the polar fronts, but more on this Friday.