Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 9th September)

Best Days: Saturday afternoon, Sunday morning, next week

Recap

Tiny surf yesterday, similar today and only for beginners.

This week and weekend (Sep 10 - 13)

The surf will remain tiny over the coming days but our short-lived pulse of SW groundswell from a rapidly deepening low tracking south-east through our swell window is on track.

This will develop tomorrow evening and deepen significantly with a burst of severe-gale to storm-force W/SW winds due to be generated in our swell window.

The low is looking healthier than Monday and we should see a strong spike in swell through Saturday to 3ft across Clifton, but come Sunday the swell will be fading rapidly from 1-2ft.

The only problem is that a trough will move through bringing onshore S/SE winds Saturday morning, though these are due to ease through the day and tend more variable.

Sunday should be cleaner with a NW offshore persisting all day.

Next week onwards (Sep 14 onwards)

As touched on the last couple of updates, a strong conveyer belt of polar frontal systems are due to move in from the west, forming in our far swell window but then moving under us early next week.

As the progression moves under us it should take a more north-east projection resulting in a building W/SW tending SW groundswell event, building Monday and peaking Tuesday. Size wise it looks like we'll see the swell peaking around 5-6ft or so and be prolonged, but more on this and the local winds Friday.