Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 3rd August)

Best Days: Possibly dawn tomorrow, possibly dawn Friday, Saturday and Sunday mornings

Recap

Clean and fun waves continued on forecast and to 2ft on the sets across Clifton Saturday, back to 1-1.5ft on Sunday. Today another new swell has provided a boost to 2ft with clean conditions.

This week and weekend (Aug 1 - 7)

With our run of small swells the last week or so, we've got a tricky but slightly better SW groundswell on the cards for tomorrow.

This may have been seen later today, generated by a strong polar front projecting a fetch of S/SW-SW gales initially in our swell window but then out of it, north towards Victoria and South Australia.

It's hard to pick the size from this fetch but we'll likely see 2-3ft sets across Clifton tomorrow morning but a dawn W/NW breeze will swing SW around first light and then strengthen from the S/SW.

This will be a result of the cold-outbreak linked to the swell shifting east and deepening off our south-east corner tomorrow evening.

A building S/SE windswell is due Wednesday with strong S/SE winds and lots of cold weather and snow, easing Thursday as the low weakens slowly but winds remain strong from the S/SW.

Come Friday, a good new SW groundswell is due to be in the mix but unfortunately winds look as if they'll linger from the W/SW-S/SW. There's an outside change for a dawn W/NW breeze and the groundswell looks to come in at a solid 4ft, generated by pre-frontal severe-gale W/NW winds, shifting W/SW as the polar low moves east towards us.

Following this there's a good flurry of secondary polar activity generating plenty of swell into the weekend and next week, but winds will shift with each passing polar front pushing up and past us. This looks like a very active period of swell, so check back here from Wednesday onwards for the windows of cleaner conditions.