Small and clean ahead of large and windy
Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 31st July)
Best Days: Saturday, Sunday for beginners, Monday, possibly dawn Tuesday, Wednesday
Recap
A continuation of small and clean 1-2ft waves yesterday and today.
This week and weekend (Aug 1 - 7)
Another pulse of W/SW groundswell should maintain 2ft sets across Clifton tomorrow morning, generated by a mid-latitude front the past couple of days. Conditions will remain clean with a N/NW tending N/NE breeze, tiny Sunday with N/NW shifting W/NW winds.
On Monday, another tricky pulse of W/SW groundswell is due, generated by a polar front that's currently projecting up towards the Bight, just through our swell window.
Inconsistent 1-2ft sets are due again under a fresh NW'ly.
Now, later in the day but most likely Tuesday a new SW groundswell is due, generated by a strong polar front that will develop initially in our swell window but then project up and towards Victoria, out of it.
This will create a tricky swell but we should see 2ft+ waves on Tuesday from this source, but the local winds depend on what the cold outbreak does when it drifts east.
At this stage it looks like we'll see the low move across us bringing a strong to gale-force onshore change, while a projection of S/SE winds will kick up a large and stormy swell for Wednesday.
The models are starting to converge on this solution, but we'll have a closer look at it on Monday. Have a great weekend!